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TheValueTrader.
Full-Time Technical Analyst  ·  Full-Time Investor
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.  ·  NASDAQ
Q1 2026 Earnings Dashboard  ·  May 5, 2026
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Q1 2026 Earnings — Reported May 5, 2026 · After Market Close · Stock +16% Next Session
Revenue +38% to $10.25B — Data Center +57% · Record FCF $2.6B · Q2 Guide $11.2B
AMD delivered a blowout Q1 2026, beating revenue by 3.7% and non-GAAP EPS by 6.2%. Data Center revenue hit a record $5.8B — up 57% YoY — driven by EPYC server CPUs and Instinct AI GPUs. Free cash flow tripled to a record $2.6B. Q2 guidance of $11.2B implies 46% YoY growth — significantly above the $9.89B Q1 consensus. Stock surged 16% the next session. MI450 and Helios rack-scale demand cited as ahead of initial plans, with H2 2026 shipments expected.
Key Metrics — Q1 2026 Actuals
Total Revenue
$10.25B
+38% YoY
Data Center Revenue
$5.8B
+57% YoY · record
Non-GAAP Gross Margin
55%
+1pp YoY · +170bps
Non-GAAP EPS
$1.37
+43% YoY vs $0.96
GAAP Net Income
$1.38B
vs $709M Q1 2025
Free Cash Flow
$2.6B
3x YoY · record
Q2 2026 Revenue Guide
$11.2B
±$300M · +46% YoY · above all estimates
Non-GAAP EPS Beat
+6.2%
$1.37 actual vs $1.29 consensus
Cash & Investments
$12.3B
End of quarter · strong balance sheet
Q2 Non-GAAP Gross Margin
~56%
+1pp expansion guided vs Q1
Beat / Miss Matrix
Beats
Total RevenueEst. $9.89B$10.25B (+3.7%)
Non-GAAP EPSEst. $1.29$1.37 (+6.2%)
Data Center RevenueEst. $5.56B (Zacks)$5.8B (+4.3%)
Non-GAAP Gross MarginGuide ~54%55% (+100bps)
Q2 Revenue GuidanceEst. ~$10.5B$11.2B (+6.7%)
Free Cash FlowPrior quarter level$2.6B · 3x YoY
Concerns
Gaming RevenueH2 2026 −20%+ guided
China Revenue (MI308)~$100M · export controls
Non-GAAP OpEx$3.145B (+42% YoY)
QoQ Gross Margin55% vs 57% Q4 2025 (−2pp)
QoQ RevenueFlat vs $10.27B Q4 2025
Memory & Component CostsGlobal shortage headwind H2
P&L Summary — Q1 2026 vs Q1 2025 (Official SEC Filing)
Non-GAAP Financial Results — Quarter Ended March 28, 2026
Revenue$10,253M$7,438M+38%
Data Center$5,800M$3,670M+58%
Client + Gaming$3,580M$2,910M+23%
Embedded$873M$823M+6%
Gross Profit (non-GAAP)$5,685M$3,992M+42%
Gross Margin (non-GAAP)55%54%+1pp
Operating Expenses (non-GAAP)$3,145M$2,213M+42%
Operating Income (non-GAAP)$2,540M$1,779M+43%
Operating Margin (non-GAAP)25%24%+1pp
GAAP Net Income$1,380M$709M+95%
GAAP EPS (diluted)$0.84$0.44+91%
Non-GAAP EPS (diluted)$1.37$0.96+43%
Free Cash Flow$2,600M~$850M~3x YoY
Cash & Short-term Investments$12,300MRecord
Segment Detail & CEO Quote
Data Center — $5.8B (+57% YoY) · Record
EPYC server CPUsServer CPU +50%+ YoY
Instinct AI GPUs (MI350)Fastest-ramping product in history
Cloud EPYC instances1,600+ globally (+50% YoY)
Key partnershipsMeta, OpenAI, Google, Microsoft
MI450 + Helios demandAhead of initial plans · H2 2026
AI accelerator market share~12% and growing
Client, Gaming & Embedded
Client (Ryzen)$2.9B · +26% YoY
Gaming (Radeon)$720M · +11% YoY
Gaming H2 2026 outlook−20%+ vs H1 · memory costs
Embedded$873M · +6% YoY
China MI308 revenue~$100M · export controls
Server CPU TAM (revised)>$120B by 2030 (+35%/yr)
"We had an excellent first quarter with revenue well above the high end of our guidance, record data center revenue, and record free cash flow. AI adoption is lifting demand for both GPU accelerators and server CPUs, and we now see the server CPU market growing much faster than we previously thought — to over $120 billion by 2030. Our Instinct GPUs are moving from pilots to production deployments across cloud, enterprise, sovereign, and supercomputing customers, and MI450 and Helios demand is running ahead of initial plans."
Dr. Lisa Su, Chair & CEO  ·  Q1 2026 Earnings Call, May 5, 2026
Q2 2026 Guidance & Product Roadmap
Management Guidance & Forward Milestones — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Q2 2026 Revenue
$11.2B ±$300M
+46% YoY
Q2 Non-GAAP Gross Margin
~56%
+1pp vs Q1
MI350 (CDNA 4, 3nm)
In production ✓
288GB HBM3e
MI450 Series
H2 2026
Demand ahead of plan
Helios Rack-Scale System
H2 2026
MI450 based · Meta spec
MI400 (HBM4, 432GB)
2026
1.6x GB200 memory
EPYC Venice (Zen 6)
2026
Alongside MI400
Gaming H2 2026
−20%+ vs H1
Memory shortage
Positives & Concerns
Positives
Data Center revenue of $5.8B — up 57% YoY and 7% sequentially — is now the primary growth driver for AMD and accounts for more than half of total revenue. EPYC server CPUs grew more than 50% YoY, reflecting sustained market share gains against Intel in cloud and enterprise workloads.
Q2 guidance of $11.2B implies 46% YoY growth — significantly above the Q1 consensus of $9.89B. This guidance raise is the single most powerful statement from the quarter and validates the AI demand trajectory heading into H2 2026.
Free cash flow tripled to a record $2.6B — representing approximately 25% of revenue. This structural improvement in cash generation, alongside $12.3B in cash and investments, significantly strengthens AMD's balance sheet and operational flexibility.
MI450 and Helios demand running ahead of initial plans. The Meta 6GW deployment agreement and OpenAI partnership — 8 of the top 10 AI companies now deploying AMD Instinct — validate AMD as the credible second-source alternative to NVIDIA at hyperscaler scale.
Server CPU TAM revised sharply upward to over $120B by 2030 (+35% annually) as AI agents drive resurgent demand for high-performance CPU inference workloads — a market where EPYC is gaining rapidly.
Concerns
Gaming revenue guided to decline more than 20% in H2 2026 versus H1 — driven by global memory shortages and rising component costs. This is a meaningful segment headwind that will weigh on total revenue and margin mix in Q3 and Q4.
China MI308 export controls limited China-facing AI GPU revenue to approximately $100M in Q1 — with no additional China revenue factored into forward guidance. This is an ongoing restriction on a potentially large market opportunity.
Non-GAAP gross margin declined 2pp sequentially from 57% in Q4 2025 to 55% in Q1 2026. While the YoY comparison improved, the sequential compression reflects early Instinct product cycle ramp dynamics and pricing pressure from hyperscaler negotiations.
Operating expenses grew 42% YoY to $3.145B — in line with revenue growth but reflecting heavy investment in R&D and commercial infrastructure. Sustained OpEx growth at this pace requires continued strong revenue acceleration to maintain margin leverage.
Revenue was flat sequentially versus Q4 2025 ($10.25B vs $10.27B). While the YoY growth is strong, sequential stagnation in a hyper-growth AI cycle raises questions about whether AMD is gaining share fast enough relative to NVIDIA's accelerating Blackwell shipments.
Analyst Coverage — Post Q1 2026
Wall Street Ratings — Post May 5, 2026
FirmRatingPrice TargetActionNote
StifelBuy$320Raised from $280Multi-GW AI commitments from Meta & OpenAI; MI450 + Helios tailwind
BernsteinOutperform~$350+Raised post Q1Data Center acceleration validates second-source thesis
Evercore ISIOutperform~$400RaisedQ2 guide +46% YoY the key bull signal; EPYC share gains durable
High-end consensusBuy$525AI sovereignty scenarioBull case: dominant second source + $120B server CPU TAM
Cautious endHold$300Valuation trap concernP/E of 136 — premium assumes perfect execution through FY27
Stock response (next session)+16%~$352+16% · +253% past year+66% YTD · Near 52-wk high of $362.79
Earnings Verdict
Data Center Inflection Confirmed — AI Second Source Thesis Intact
AMD's Q1 2026 was a decisive quarter. The 57% Data Center growth, record free cash flow of $2.6B, Q2 guidance of $11.2B (+46% YoY), and the explicit confirmation that MI450 and Helios demand is ahead of plan collectively validate AMD's position as the only credible second-source competitor to NVIDIA in AI infrastructure. The stock's 16% post-earnings surge reflects the market repricing the probability of AMD sustaining double-digit AI market share against NVIDIA's continued dominance. The concerns are real: sequential revenue was flat, Gaming faces a meaningful H2 headwind, China restrictions limit a large market, and the stock trades at a premium P/E of 136 that requires sustained execution. But with $12.3B in cash, EPYC gaining server CPU share, and the MI450/Helios cycle entering production in H2 2026, the structural AI demand tailwind appears durable. Next earnings August 4, 2026.
Revenue Beat
+3.7%
EPS Beat
+6.2%
Data Center
$5.8B +57%
Q2 Guide
$11.2B
Free Cash Flow
$2.6B
Next Earnings
Aug 4, 2026